C3.2 — Life-cycle analysis (HL)

Key concepts

Life-cycle assessment (LCA) is a structured method for measuring a product's environmental impact across its entire life — from raw material extraction to end-of-life disposal. Unlike intuition or marketing claims, LCA produces numbers: kilograms of CO₂, litres of water, grams of toxic emissions.

LCA answers questions that would otherwise be unanswerable: is a ceramic mug better than a disposable cup? Is an electric car better than a combustion car? Is local production better than imported? These are not obvious without data.

The four LCA stages

Standardised by ISO 14040 and ISO 14044:

1. Goal and scope definition What is being assessed? What boundary applies (cradle-to-gate, cradle-to-grave, cradle-to-cradle)? What impact categories matter (carbon, water, toxicity, land use)? This step frames everything that follows.

2. Life-cycle inventory (LCI) Data collection: every input (materials, energy) and output (emissions, waste) across the product's life. This is the labour-intensive step. Designers use databases (ecoinvent, GaBi) or published LCIs for common materials.

3. Life-cycle impact assessment (LCIA) Translate inventory data into environmental impacts using standard characterisation factors. E.g. 1 kg of methane is expressed as 28 kg CO₂-equivalent. Produces comparable numbers across impact categories.

4. Interpretation Analyse results, identify hotspots, draw conclusions. Which life stage dominates? Which material choice causes most impact? What would reduce impact most effectively?

Life-cycle stages analysed

Each stage has inputs (materials, energy) and outputs (emissions, waste).

Boundaries

LCAs differ in where they draw their system boundary:

Changing boundary changes conclusions. A product that looks sustainable cradle-to-gate may look much worse cradle-to-grave if its use phase is energy-intensive.

Impact categories

LCA measures multiple environmental dimensions:

A product may score well in one category and badly in another. Trade-offs must be made explicit.

Comparing design scenarios

LCA's most powerful use in design is comparing options: - Aluminium vs steel bicycle frame - Battery-electric vs hydrogen fuel-cell vehicle - Single-use vs reusable packaging - Imported vs locally manufactured

Designers run parallel LCAs for each option and compare results. The outcome is rarely predictable from intuition.

Interpreting LCA data

LCA is not neutral: - Assumptions affect results (what electricity mix? what recycling rates?) - Data quality varies by region and industry - Uncertainty can be large - "Functional unit" choice shapes comparisons (per litre, per km driven, per year of use)

Good LCAs state assumptions and uncertainties transparently. Bad LCAs cherry-pick numbers that support the desired conclusion.

LCA software tools

Students can perform simplified LCAs using published material databases.

Case studies

Plastic vs paper bag — intuitively, paper seems greener. LCAs typically show paper bags have higher carbon footprint than thin plastic bags because of processing energy — unless reused many times. The counterintuitive result shaped environmental policy.

Tesla Model 3 LCA — comparison with petrol cars shows electric vehicles have higher manufacturing emissions (batteries) but much lower use-phase emissions. Break-even depends on the electricity grid — quickly in renewable-heavy grids, slowly in coal-heavy grids.

Reusable coffee cup — a ceramic mug must be used ~50 times to beat disposable paper cups (cradle-to-grave). A stainless steel travel mug requires hundreds of uses. Reusability is only environmentally better if actually reused.

Packaging comparisons for beverages — LCAs of glass bottles, aluminium cans, and plastic bottles consistently show that transport distance, recycling rate, and refill infrastructure matter more than the package itself. Local glass with high refill rates wins; imported glass shipped once loses.

Glossary

Check your understanding

1. Describe the four stages of a life-cycle assessment.

Goal and scope definition: defines what is being assessed, which life stages, and which impact categories. Life-cycle inventory (LCI): data collection of every input and output across the product's life. Life-cycle impact assessment (LCIA): translates inventory data into standardised impact categories (e.g. CO₂-equivalent). Interpretation: analyses results, identifies hotspots, draws actionable conclusions. The four stages are standardised in ISO 14040/14044.

2. Distinguish between cradle-to-gate, cradle-to-grave, and cradle-to-cradle boundaries, explaining when each is appropriate.

Cradle-to-gate covers raw material extraction to the factory gate; appropriate for comparing materials or component processes. Cradle-to-grave adds use and disposal; appropriate for full product assessment, revealing whether use-phase or manufacture dominates. Cradle-to-cradle adds recycling back into new products; appropriate for circular economy analysis, showing how much material loops vs is lost. Boundary choice determines what the LCA can answer.

3. Explain why intuition about product sustainability is often wrong.

Products have complex life cycles, and different life-cycle stages dominate for different products. Plastic bags have a lower carbon footprint than paper bags unless the paper bag is reused many times — counterintuitive because "plastic = bad" is a cultural shortcut. Electric cars have higher manufacturing emissions than petrol but far lower use emissions — the better choice depends on grid mix and usage. Without full-lifecycle data, conclusions drawn from visible attributes (material, origin, look) are often wrong. LCA corrects the intuitive story with numbers.

4. A designer claims their bamboo bicycle frame is "sustainable" because bamboo is renewable. Using LCA reasoning, critique this claim.

Renewability is one factor among many. A proper LCA would assess: extraction (how is the bamboo harvested, from where?), processing (how much energy, what adhesives, where?), transport (imported from Asia or grown locally?), use-phase durability (does it last as long as aluminium?), and end of life (is it compostable, or does the adhesive prevent biodegradation?). The bamboo frame may still be more sustainable — but that conclusion requires data, not the word "bamboo". Designers must defend sustainability claims with life-cycle evidence or retract them.